What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink? – Discover Living & Real Estate in Solano County

What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink?

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What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink?

What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink?| MyKCM

With the current uncertainty about the economy triggered by a potential trade war, some people are waiting to purchase their first home or move-up to their dream house because they think or hope home prices will drop over the next few years. However, the experts disagree with this perspective.

What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink?| MyKCM

Here is a table showing the predicted levels of appreciation from six major housing sources:As we can see, every source believes home prices will continue to appreciate (albeit at lower levels than we have seen over the last several years). But, not one source is calling for residential real estate values to depreciate.

What Is the Probability That Home Values Sink?| MyKCM

Additionally, ARCH Mortgage Insurance Company in their current Housing and Mortgage Market Review revealed their latest ARCH Risk Index, which estimates the probability of home prices being lower in two years. There was not one state that even had a moderate probability of home prices lowering. In fact, 34 of the 50 states had a minimal probability.

Bottom Line

Those waiting for prices to fall before purchasing a home should realize that the probability of that happening anytime soon is very low. With mortgage rates already at near historic lows, now may be the time to act.

Serge Santos
Serge Santos
Serge Santos, is a Broker-Associate at RE/MAX Gold Elite Team, based in Fairfield, California, 18-year veteran of the real estate industry and has represented clients all over Solano and Sacramento areas in all sorts of real estate transactions, selling more than 400 properties representing both sellers and buyers. Active in the community, Serge is a long-time resident of Solano County for almost 20 years. He has extensive knowledge and experience in the local real estate market. As a client, you will benefit from Serge's in-depth knowledge of the local housing market and his "people-first" approach to business. He looks forward to helping you achieve your real estate goals.

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